Manifold is great for forecasting enthusiasts. Poly.fan is built for friend groups who just want to make predictions without the complexity.
Try Poly.fan freeManifold Markets is a play-money prediction market platform focused on forecasting. Markets are public, anyone can create them, and there is a strong focus on calibration and forecasting accuracy.
Poly.fan focuses on private, group-based prediction markets. Less about forecasting accuracy, more about having fun with people you know.
Tracking prediction accuracy over time
Casual predictions with friends
Commenting on public events
Private workplace predictions
Public community engagement
Private team building activity
Use Manifold for public forecasting and calibration tracking. Use Poly.fan for private, fun predictions with your group.
Try Poly.fan free