Polymarket is great for world events. But sometimes you want to predict things only your friend group would care about.
Everything you need to run prediction markets with your group.
Your predictions stay between you and your friends. Only people you invite can see and participate. No public profiles.
Inside jokes, relationship drama, vacation plans, who picks the worst restaurant — if your group cares about it, you can predict it.
Running leaderboards show who has the best prediction track record. Finally settle "I told you so" debates with data.
Make predictions in seconds from your phone. Drop a link in the group chat and everyone's in.
Examples from groups like yours. Click any to create your first market.
The group has been waiting for years. Put your prediction where your mouth is. 67% say yes.
Annual traditions deserve proper stakes. Last year's casserole is still talked about.
We've planned this three times. Track optimism vs reality. Currently at 42%.
Long-term predictions for long-term friends. Resolves whenever someone puts a ring on it.
You know the type. We all know the type. Odds: not great.
For that friend who's never on time. Set expectations accordingly.
Real feedback from real groups.
"We made a market on whether our friend would actually show up on time to his own birthday. He didn't. We all saw it coming."
"The "will they get back together" market ran for 6 months. When it finally resolved, the group chat went wild."
"We track everything now. Who picks the restaurant, who's late, who cancels last minute. There's data on all of it."
No credit card. Free forever for virtual trading.
Pick a name, get your subdomain.
Share a link. They join instantly.
Create markets, see who knows best.
Join hundreds of groups already making predictions together. Free to start, no credit card required.